My Personal Notebook

Lay The Favourite early – Football Trading

Last Minute Draw - Football Trading

Every football match has a favourite team to win. Odds on the favourite team are always lower then the non favourite. During in-play, if no scores are scored then the favourite odds will start to drift.

>> Skill level <<<

Start this trade at the very beginning.


Lay the favourite in the first minute of in-play to trade off somewhere later.

Find favourite back odds lower then 1.80 to trade out 5 to 10 ticks higher.

More Details.

Find a football match about to start with the favourite back odds lower then 1.80 with a chance of a draw.

Place your Lay bet in the market no later then 1 min in-play then place your back bet on the favourite for 5 ticks higher then what your lay bet was matched at.

For example. If I Lay the favourite at odds at 1.70 I then need to back the favourite odds for 1.75.


The whole trade with 5 ticks shouldn’t take any longer then 10 minutes.

Lay the favourite early.

This strategy works well on home favourites not scoring the first goal or favourite not scoring early in the game. Any goal from the non favourite will instantly get your trade matched.

Stake price example with £200 and 5 ticks.

  • Lay at 1.70 for £200
  • Back at 1.75 for £200
  • Free bet value worth £10.00 or a green up worth around £5.00

Stake price example with £10 and 5 ticks.

  • Lay at 1.70 for £10
  • Back at 1.75 for £10
  • Free bet value worth £0.50 or a green up worth around £0.30

What to think about.

If the Favourite scores before you get your back bet matched then you have basically lost this trade around 75% of the lay bet stake. You could take this lost now and move on or wait to see if the the other team can score and hopefully get your trade. The more you trade, the more experience you will have to make better trades.


Last Minute Draw - Football Trading

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